Waterlogged-Experience
0x4f2339f138744a4ef3207b0e7fbb1698caf26d13
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$16.88
Total PnL
$-2.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of February?$1.00Feb 11, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$1.00Jan 27, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Jan 21, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$1.00Dec 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Dec 17, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMOver $10M committed to the VOOI public sale?$1.08Dec 17, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.10Dec 17, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?$1.30Dec 17, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$1.30Dec 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 8, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the VOOI public sale?$1.00Nov 19, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Nov 11, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Oct 28, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?$1.00Oct 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$1.00Oct 14, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.16Oct 8, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".