Advanced-Creativity
0x4f320c0357fe2ea3f83e049afa11b02ba45a7b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$288.29
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$32.64
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
1113 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.74
$5.74
- YES
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
693 shares @ 14.4¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.98
$3.98
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.57
$-21.43
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215–220 in 2025?
716 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?
442 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?
419 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
396 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
274 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$148.70Jun 12, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$370.37Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$89.61Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$102.96Jun 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$101.31Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$102.54Jun 12, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$203.68Jun 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$50.88Jun 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$31.11Jun 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$31.12Jun 12, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$101.87May 31, 16:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.16May 19, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00May 19, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$19.35May 19, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$11.08May 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.38May 19, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.43May 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.21May 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$6.58May 19, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $70.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.