Bowed-Chrome
0x4f33f2efcbc97cf923afc10b71fbc33b03d69eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$87.49
Total PnL
$-184.40
Realised
$589.75
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.04
$-3.96
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
219 shares @ 2.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.20
$13.20
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.60
$1.60
- YES
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
82 shares @ 6.1¢·now 8.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.86
$1.86
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
260 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.33
$-4.67
- YES
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
27 shares @ 18.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
888 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.99
$-210.46
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-3.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$10.67Jun 3, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?$5.28Jun 2, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$5.33Jun 2, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.20Jun 2, 01:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$5.20May 29, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?$10.37May 29, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$5.08May 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?$5.20May 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 29, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$0.39Feb 25, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$0.06Feb 25, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$15.75Feb 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$15.63Feb 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$14.00Feb 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?$13.50Feb 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$13.00Feb 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$13.30Feb 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$5.00Feb 14, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.