0x4f3eda071a1e7522f81b7e709fb1d64168fa4b25
0x4f3eda071a1e7522f81b7e709fb1d64168fa4b25
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$15.19
Total PnL
$-61.21
Realised
$-20.80
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$5.71
$1.71
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.19
$1.59
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
4 shares @ 25.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$3.88
$2.88
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$1.00Jan 30, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Jan 29, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26?$0.00Jan 29, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Jan 29, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26?$0.00Jan 28, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Jan 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.00Jan 26, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 26, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Jan 26, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?$15.00Jan 26, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?$16.60Jan 26, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?$2.20Jan 26, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?$4.65Jan 25, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?$2.00Jan 25, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26?$5.00Jan 25, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?$3.79Jan 25, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$3.83Jan 25, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?$0.00Jan 24, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?$0.00Jan 22, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?$2.00Jan 21, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $9.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".