Busy-Site
0x4f400d238757aba8e42665914a80f6a94c3ea69c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$169.95
Total PnL
$-381.35
Realised
$-3.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
43 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.60
$0.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
27 shares @ 95.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.25
$-0.49
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$18.87
$0.07
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
20 shares @ 89.9¢·now 87.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.48
$-0.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.20
$0.18
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 80.6¢·now 79.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.84
$-0.28
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
45 shares @ 19.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.47
$2.92
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
83 shares @ 11.9¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.44
$0.59
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
32 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.80
$0.16
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?
3706 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.56
$-16.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$24.00Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$19.00Jun 14, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$9.17Jun 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$8.75Jun 14, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$8.75Jun 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$8.58Jun 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$8.39Jun 14, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$8.32Jun 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$2.57Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$6.43Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$6.43Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.13Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.28Jun 13, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.44Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.11Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.43Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$17.64Jun 13, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$8.40Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$8.40Jun 13, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$8.40Jun 13, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.