Required-Clue
0x4f4b28c47037230e21e9950cc9c5fee858a17540
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$160.00
Total PnL
$-293.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$100.00
$25.00
- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
60 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$60.00
$20.40
- YES
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?
350 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
330 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-86.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
136 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.00Mar 3, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$75.00Mar 3, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$67.14Mar 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$86.00Feb 6, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$100.00Feb 6, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$90.00Feb 6, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$39.60Jan 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$24.00Jan 13, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$195.00Jan 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$50.40Dec 20, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$28.80Dec 2, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$35.15Dec 2, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$3.20Dec 2, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$0.00Dec 1, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$118.00Dec 1, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$30.00Nov 21, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?$49.00Nov 9, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$49.50Nov 5, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$124.72Nov 5, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$1.98Nov 5, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $65.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.