Burly-Apparatus
0x4f514971b04cde2068951688f3b0796e70031de3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.03
Total PnL
$-73.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 28?
8316 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?
4160 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 7?
4142 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 5?
4137 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.27
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 16?
2120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?
2116 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 16?
2102 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 11?
2100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 10?
2100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$13.64Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$13.60May 30, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$14.06May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$14.00May 19, 07:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.44May 19, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.40May 19, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$15.21May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$15.20May 13, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$15.25May 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$15.20May 4, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.06Apr 28, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 26?$2.1KApr 27, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 26?$2.1KApr 27, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$2.1KApr 27, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$2.1KApr 26, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 25?$2.1KApr 26, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 25?$2.1KApr 26, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23?$2.1KApr 25, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23?$2.1KApr 23, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on April 22?$2.1KApr 23, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $655.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".