0x4f5f3f4c025c46e17e7fb9198b674df33d23f116
0x4f5f3f4c025c46e17e7fb9198b674df33d23f116
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.95
Total PnL
$-14.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.95
$-0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?
6877 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
- PIPSQUEAK+4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
1688 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8?
85 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?
74 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SENATORS
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
6 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?$2.00Apr 5, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$3.72Apr 5, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?$3.41Apr 5, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMVictor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5$0.00Apr 5, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMVictor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5$2.93Apr 5, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?$1.00Apr 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?$1.00Apr 4, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 4?$0.00Apr 4, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?$1.00Apr 4, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?$0.00Apr 4, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?$3.48Apr 4, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYVictor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5$1.78Apr 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.01Apr 4, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senators (-1.5)$1.74Apr 4, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner$1.74Apr 4, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?$1.74Apr 4, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$1.74Apr 4, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 4?$1.74Apr 4, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$1.74Apr 4, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?$1.74Apr 4, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".