Limping-Turnip
0x4f90a3eafe60584418cb3fc9134785cbe2bf517d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$11.8K
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
3877 shares @ 77.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.7K
$693.00
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
2025 shares @ 69.1¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.9K
$490.31
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
1866 shares @ 59.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.8K
$737.99
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
1954 shares @ 76.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.8K
$326.70
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1998 shares @ 75.1¢·now 76.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.5K
$27.10
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
1098 shares @ 67.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$335.94
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
20797 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-619.99
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
9926 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
9798 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
5140 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-949.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$500.00Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$101.44Jul 28, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$202.80Jul 27, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$202.82Jul 27, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$1000.00Jul 26, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.3KJul 26, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0KJul 25, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 24?$838.03Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$815.02Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$100.00Jul 24, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$100.00Jul 24, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$200.00Jul 24, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$200.00Jul 23, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$100.00Jul 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$300.00Jul 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$574.01Jul 23, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$200.00Jul 22, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$200.00Jul 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$100.00Jul 22, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$600.00Jul 22, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $438.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.