Competent-Aardvark
0x4fa9bbe99cdedd3ff05a2a679f0ec4ae706b7633
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-59.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12497 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.0K
$18.75
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?
3390 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.0K
$-16.95
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6613 shares @ 15.1¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$69.99
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8818 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$471.77
$-13.22
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.67
$-8.32
- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Germany?
848 shares @ 11.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$89.01
$-10.99
- YES
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Germany?
981 shares @ 10.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$83.42
$-16.58
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 New Zealand?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.69
$-0.31
- YES
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Switzerland?
194 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.33
$-0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 0 - 2 Germany?$102.69Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 3 - 0 Germany?$3.37Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 1 - 0 Germany?$8.32Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Germany?$22.03Jun 6, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Germany?$31.48Jun 6, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 2 Germany?$102.65Jun 6, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$2.0KJun 6, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Tunisia?$10.26Jun 6, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Tunisia?$10.26Jun 6, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 New Zealand?$10.25Jun 6, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 0 New Zealand?$10.25Jun 6, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?$10.28Jun 6, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?$10.25Jun 6, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Switzerland?$10.28Jun 6, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 0 Germany?$10.29Jun 6, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 0 Germany?$10.29Jun 6, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Germany?$51.40Jun 6, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Germany?$51.43Jun 6, 11:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $127.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.