Guilty-Forebear
0x4fad5916f72e19d8461a65135a46f02e2439d264
Quality score
93/100
Open positions
22
Open notional
$8.5K
Total PnL
$379.41
Realised
$-16.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
2035 shares @ 86.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-1.31
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1733 shares @ 83.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$119.69
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1443 shares @ 84.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-12.69
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1043 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$964.17
$9.17
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
424 shares @ 70.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$415.36
$115.36
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
400 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$389.39
$7.20
- NO
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
317 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$307.84
$7.84
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
354 shares @ 84.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$302.97
$2.96
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
254 shares @ 78.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$234.84
$34.84
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
244 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$230.49
$30.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.1018h ago
- YIELD$0.112d ago
- YIELD$0.113d ago
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$166.674d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$25.024d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$21.874d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.874d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$30.634d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$19.414d ago
- YIELD$0.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$19.414d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$100.614d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$100.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$100.354d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$91.654d ago
- YIELD$0.105d ago
- YIELD$0.106d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$113.006d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$111.846d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $60.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 18h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.