Modest-Spokesman
0x4fb1d5b6f34b3c9622ff934dde4df6981cc70787
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-108.27
Realised
$32.59
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
724 shares @ 99.4¢·now 97.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$707.01
$-12.99
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?
1137 shares @ 22.2¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$261.47
$9.33
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?
443 shares @ 53.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$241.42
$4.02
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
203 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$199.90
$-0.10
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
207 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$198.94
$4.94
- NO
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
116 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$115.89
$-0.41
- NO
Will José Ignacio García be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$99.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
74 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$73.40
$-0.02
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
57 shares @ 67.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.85
$0.93
- NO
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$30.23
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$200.14Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$68.68Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$605.65Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$200.12Jun 11, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$42.64Jun 11, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$400.16Jun 11, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$30.01Jun 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$42.19Jun 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$38.43Jun 10, 10:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.63Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$100.10Jun 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$6.60Jun 9, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$5.77Jun 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$100.06Jun 9, 08:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.24Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.36Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$10.54Jun 8, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$21.08Jun 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?$52.76Jun 8, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $60.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.