0x4fbbb80180d433403d61281b32e68a38cb4f9dd2
0x4fbbb80180d433403d61281b32e68a38cb4f9dd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$29.90
Total PnL
$-20.68
Realised
$0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
10 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$10.00
$0.52
- NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
5 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.00
$0.33
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$4.98
$0.32
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$4.98
$0.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.94
$0.89
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
20 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.76
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
BitBoy convicted?
5 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$0.00Apr 11, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$5.00Apr 11, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$0.00Apr 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$3.74Apr 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$4.25Apr 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.70Apr 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$4.24Apr 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$4.05Apr 11, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$3.70Apr 11, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.57Apr 10, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$4.20Apr 10, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.35Apr 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.77Apr 9, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$4.40Apr 9, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.31Apr 9, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.25Apr 9, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.67Apr 9, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$2.78Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$4.14Apr 8, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$4.72Apr 8, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.