Upright-Warming
0x4fbc39976cdaafc8c2605a452d5fc0d346bc186d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-9.58
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
741 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$611.11
$11.11
- YES
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
190 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$154.83
$0.93
- NO
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
213 shares @ 77.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$136.31
$-27.69
- NO
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
184 shares @ 76.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$128.95
$-11.05
- YES
Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
165 shares @ 57.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$127.05
$33.00
- NO
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
179 shares @ 70.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$113.67
$-11.63
- NO
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$97.75
$-0.15
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$90.49
$7.50
- YES
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
125 shares @ 74.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.86
$-5.64
- YES
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
70 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$63.35
$10.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$603.42Jun 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$141.01Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$60.54Jun 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$100.93Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$100.93Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.96Jun 12, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126.43Jun 12, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$165.13Jun 12, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73.10Jun 12, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.20Jun 10, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.80Jun 10, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$21.40Jun 10, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$11.22Jun 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.90Jun 10, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$154.78Jun 10, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$95.26Jun 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.90Jun 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$93.22Jun 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.90Jun 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$10.82Jun 10, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $95.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.