Revolving-Motorboat
0x4fbc981b1d6cbe9cbfde11318f338ba613855259
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
1700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 18?
1600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 10?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- LAKERS
Rockets vs. Lakers
32 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Next US strike on Syria on December 19?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$91.09Jun 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$91.01Jun 5, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$90.09Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.23May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$90.00May 29, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$90.27May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$90.02May 26, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$90.09May 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$90.00May 19, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$90.09May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$90.01May 15, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$90.09May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$90.00May 12, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on May 11?$1.13May 11, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?$1.30May 10, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$87.09May 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$87.01May 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?$1.30May 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on May 11?$1.13May 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.23May 10, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $56.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".