Irresponsible-Arrangement
0x4fc04dd8789eb2b234338ccb28ed8180bf34eadd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.31
Total PnL
$-60.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 6?
6385 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 12?
2177 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.53
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?
2083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?
2074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 4?
2069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?
2067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?
1838 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?
1825 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$5.72Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$5.70Jun 12, 09:08 UTC
- REWARD$0.82Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.01Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.00May 26, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$5.73May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$5.70May 20, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$3.63May 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?$3.68May 12, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?$3.65May 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?$3.64May 11, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$1.8KMay 9, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$1.8KMay 9, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?$1.8KMay 9, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?$1.8KMay 9, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?$1.8KMay 8, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?$1.8KMay 8, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $635.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.