Colorless-Plough
0x4fc82cd8900098f4de239c9126c6c713fe26f86d
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$122.47
Total PnL
$-2.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.67
$4.67
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$10.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$9.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$9.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.31
$0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$5.09Jun 14, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$5.10Jun 14, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$0.00Jun 14, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$62.44Jun 14, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$14.93Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.12Jun 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$10.16Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 13, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$20.38Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 13, 02:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$26.99Jun 12, 04:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$10.20Jun 11, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$14.27Jun 11, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $12.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.