Defiant-Underestimate
0x4fd899f1001b62d6a8713d72878eae732f82af91
Quality score
69/100
Open positions
10
Open notional
$72.80
Total PnL
$-64.59
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
40 shares @ 75.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
1000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.50
$-15.50
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
999 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.99
$-3.36
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2876 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.31
$-1.44
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$0.75
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
1329 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-44.80
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?
225 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$20.002d ago
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$4.902d ago
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$1.102d ago
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$13.232d ago
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$4.692d ago
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$0.402d ago
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?$0.472d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?$0.803d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?$0.203d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?$0.153d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?$1.353d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$4.003d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$30.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?$0.064d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?$0.115d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$3.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?$0.355d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?$0.365d ago
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.165d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.