Noteworthy-Fort
0x4fd96b1b3f6f6fd2d94d0eaebd82a9edb6a40be7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$32.26
Total PnL
$-326.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$32.26
$2.26
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
148 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-122.24
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
101 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-85.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?
77 shares @ 89.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
55 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-52.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.83Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.08Jun 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$13.68May 14, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$20.17May 14, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$30.10May 13, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$21.28May 13, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$21.98May 13, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$20.06May 12, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$20.09May 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$218.98Feb 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$52.33Feb 20, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$52.33Feb 20, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$50.77Feb 20, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$50.78Feb 20, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$49.77Feb 20, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$49.77Feb 20, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$47.74Feb 20, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$47.74Feb 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$145.11Feb 20, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $95.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.