Academic-Adulthood
0x4fdbbc57bc50f1abf77d3e68bb26e83080e90b12
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-45.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
2000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.0K
$-25.20
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 26.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$232.50
$102.50
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$96.50
$5.50
- YES
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
500 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.50
$-13.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
20400 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.0K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
13000 shares @ 78.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.2K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
9484 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.9K
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
5000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
2300 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?
1000 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-58.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$200.00May 18, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?$500.00May 18, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $143.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".