Decent-Wiseguy
0x4fec6b3350043deb660399c9769cbd7492723572
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$402.09
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$8.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
6054 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$399.59
$77.99
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
2053 shares @ 92.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
269 shares @ 67.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-181.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
73 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$184.13Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$183.13Mar 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.9KMar 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$1.00Mar 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$1.00Mar 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.01Mar 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$4.99Mar 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.9KMar 15, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.9KMar 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.4KMar 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$10.47Mar 15, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$2.69Mar 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$440.00Mar 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.46Mar 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$35.39Mar 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$293.02Mar 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$50.00Mar 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$85.82Mar 15, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$30.00Mar 15, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $261.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".