Arctic-Ferryboat
0x4ff19014c3bfb1aa972f6e219b69a101f0e05c66
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$397.52
Total PnL
$-32.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2607 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.04
$13.04
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.11
$9.11
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.24
$2.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$3.13
$1.16
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?
2884 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
87 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1?
71 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$3.00Feb 24, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.00Feb 24, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$7.81Feb 24, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by February 28?$3.00Feb 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.00Feb 24, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$265.00Feb 23, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1?$5.50Feb 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?$5.00Feb 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1?$4.00Feb 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?$5.00Feb 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?$2.50Feb 22, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10–12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Feb 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Feb 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Feb 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.83Feb 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?$3.00Feb 22, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$6.00Feb 22, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Feb 22, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $22.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".