Both-Hub
0x4fff3c11a5d9b77822e01792f933cdb28557be78
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$19.9K
Total PnL
$360.63
Realised
$242.57
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.0K
$3.0K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
6775 shares @ 76.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.2K
$-8.73
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$997.01
$67.00
- NO
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$988.50
$208.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
611 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$594.19
$13.53
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$295.00
$-75.00
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
312 shares @ 72.7¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.36
$-16.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$199.30
$53.30
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
200 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$170.50
$14.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$4.12Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.29Jul 28, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.45Jul 28, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$29.00Jul 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.23Jul 28, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$11.60Jul 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$30.84Jul 28, 05:14 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.0KJul 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$581.81Jul 28, 05:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$33.02Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$238.00Jul 28, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.34Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$31.46Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?$4.06Jul 27, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s remarks not air?$40.00Jul 27, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$160.70Jul 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$1.69Jul 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$1.69Jul 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$1.69Jul 27, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 7, 19:50 UTC → Jul 7, 19:44 UTC
- BUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$8.0K@100¢Jul 7, 19:44 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$8.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
$8.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $156.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.