Informal-Sir
0x50014173025e00ab5ceb33f5e326fe7679fdbc10
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$28.40
Realised
$5.05
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
2000 shares @ 9.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$350.00
$160.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
1001 shares @ 17.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$225.14
$54.27
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
494 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$222.30
$-29.87
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
240 shares @ 69.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$209.88
$42.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
2000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$150.00
$86.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
310 shares @ 30.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$93.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?
100 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$42.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$35.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 26, 2026$33.00
$17.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
300 shares @ 9.3¢·now 10.9¢·exp May 25, 2026$32.85
$4.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$30.82May 23, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$43.40May 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$8.47May 23, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$11.03May 23, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$2.87May 23, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$13.65May 23, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$66.62May 23, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$20.84May 23, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$0.21May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$216.96May 23, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$14.43May 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.19May 23, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$160.52May 23, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.70May 23, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$34.72May 23, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$104.50May 23, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$16.35May 23, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$31.37May 23, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$93.54May 23, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$0.00May 23, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $55.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".