Miserly-Hardhat
0x5006bb97c3c4004c136d40c1d6fe9dc896ba3b51
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$7.37
Total PnL
$-324.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.40
$0.00
- NO
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.60
$-0.00
- NO
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
28 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$0.04
- OVER
Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5
113 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-31.62
- JAZZ
Heat vs. Jazz
83 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Heat
65 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.35
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Spurs
52 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.40May 21, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.30May 9, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.63May 5, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1.00May 2, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00May 1, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?$2.06May 1, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$1.02May 1, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $800 in April?$2.00May 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.00May 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.00Apr 30, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.01Apr 30, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$1.00Apr 29, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Apr 28, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 24?$2.74Apr 28, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$4.06Apr 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.60Apr 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in April?$2.00Apr 24, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 24?$2.70Apr 23, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".