0x5010156bb4e1773c3b7ccb4465887351024c094a
0x5010156bb4e1773c3b7ccb4465887351024c094a
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$782.93
Total PnL
$-36.54
Realised
$21.65
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
106 shares @ 68.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.41
$16.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
82 shares @ 62.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$82.04
$31.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 15.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.35
$65.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
50 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$49.97
$9.54
- NO
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
46 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$46.30
$2.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
46 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$45.87
$38.98
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.30
$2.70
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
35 shares @ 57.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.68
$13.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
30 shares @ 74.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$30.00
$7.75
- NO
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
29 shares @ 83.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$28.80
$4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$1.00Mar 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$1.02Mar 8, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.40Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Mar 8, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 22:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".