0x503519c3c678c956f4d0f438af27bedd7cd08aab
0x503519c3c678c956f4d0f438af27bedd7cd08aab
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$405.08
Total PnL
$-89.88
Realised
$-1.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
75 shares @ 52.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$37.92
$-1.20
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
34 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$33.56
$8.56
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
32 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$32.05
$7.05
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
31 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$31.25
$6.25
- YES
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
29 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$29.41
$4.41
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.74
$3.74
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.09
$3.09
- NO
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
28 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$27.84
$2.84
- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
28 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$27.80
$2.73
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 82.9¢·now 88.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.64
$1.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.