0x5041f5899013142b4a827d646138db1256677a3e
0x5041f5899013142b4a827d646138db1256677a3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$17.30
Total PnL
$-61.02
Realised
$-3.87
Win rate
29%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?
7 shares @ 9.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$6.81
$6.15
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$4.00
$3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 8?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$3.03
$2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 6?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$2.33
$1.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 3?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on February 26?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on February 28?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on February 16?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or below on March 5?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on April 2?$0.14Mar 29, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on April 2?$1.00Mar 29, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 2?$0.25Mar 29, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 2?$1.00Mar 29, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 29?$1.30Mar 29, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29?$0.38Mar 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on March 31?$1.00Mar 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29?$0.25Mar 29, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29?$0.69Mar 29, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29?$1.00Mar 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 29?$1.00Mar 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?$1.66Mar 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?$1.00Mar 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29?$0.56Mar 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29?$0.72Mar 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29?$1.00Mar 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.96Mar 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on March 21?$1.00Mar 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20?$1.29Mar 20, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20?$1.00Mar 19, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".