Bustling-Patience
0x5046edc5a112e5fec014ec70e3b31d4abbb0245c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$30.69
Win rate
70%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET
2260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2080 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 9?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1393 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on May 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.11Jun 20, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.15Jun 20, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.67Jun 20, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.13Jun 20, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.48Jun 20, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.50Jun 20, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.83Jun 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.67Jun 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.12Jun 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.14Jun 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$3.11Jun 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.17Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.79Jun 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.38Jun 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.05Jun 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.25Jun 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.16Jun 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$2.17Jun 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.16Jun 18, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.