Judicious-Possession
0x504d3903d17b31d7680f64666b01ed49e777dae8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$916.74
Realised
$816.76
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
2420 shares @ 82.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$413.91
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
1210 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$276.17
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
740 shares @ 82.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$713.65
$102.32
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in June?
540 shares @ 85.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$426.81
$-34.21
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?
210 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$204.38
$5.13
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?
198 shares @ 67.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$141.79
$8.89
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?
166 shares @ 93.4¢·now 57.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$95.58
$-59.53
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?
67 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$65.74
$1.30
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?
66 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$60.23
$0.82
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?
30 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.30
$2.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$5.10Jun 24, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$1.3KJun 24, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June?$162.70Jun 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in June?$68.10Jun 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$231.05Jun 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?$67.72Jun 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$3.01Jun 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$64.74Jun 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?$11.46Jun 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in June?$147.91Jun 15, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$159.00Jun 15, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?$27.75Jun 15, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in June?$14.90Jun 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$29.04Jun 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$13.58Jun 10, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$0.40Jun 10, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?$9.27Jun 9, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?$36.89Jun 8, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$41.13Jun 8, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$5.02Jun 8, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $74.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.