Rude-Kebab
0x50633eeb34727c3a29dd0aac1e29a6cb4be8773d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$28.0K
Total PnL
$-20.8K
Realised
$-890.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10563 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.7K
$158.44
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
15586 shares @ 29.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.5K
$1.9K
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6443 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$289.95
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
3154 shares @ 87.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$260.34
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1500 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$157.49
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1400 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$91.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
19659 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.4K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
10376 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.40Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$1.40Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $501.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.