Hot-Plier
0x506817b30daa7fd6a061932359c7c794d73cf2a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$21.71
Total PnL
$-149.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$17.54
$7.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in November 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$9.47May 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$10.53May 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Apr 3, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Apr 3, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$1.00Dec 26, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1.33Dec 20, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?$14.25Dec 15, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?$15.00Dec 15, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?$5.41Dec 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?$9.26Dec 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?$14.58Dec 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?$1.43Dec 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?$2.00Dec 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?$2.00Dec 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?$2.00Dec 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?$2.00Dec 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?$3.00Dec 14, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?$5.08Dec 14, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?$5.17Dec 14, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?$3.00Dec 12, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".