Rare-Constant
0x50845825c01dbced03f801a0c7579d8aed66e25d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-6.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2427 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.28
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
2110 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-90.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
1016 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-59.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
1010 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
667 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-34.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
622 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-99.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
544 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-135.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
455 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-109.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.00Apr 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$7.15Apr 12, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$96.80Apr 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$136.41Mar 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.00Mar 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$100.00Mar 25, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$20.00Mar 25, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$50.00Mar 25, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Mar 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$5.00Mar 25, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".