Grizzled-Wetsuit
0x50b0b5be14f256bf15c63ae78b33be7214b27dc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$112.44
Total PnL
$-192.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
100 shares @ 44.2¢·now 34.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.39
$-9.84
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
160 shares @ 57.2¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.36
$-62.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 20?
18 shares @ 88.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$17.48
$1.21
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
312 shares @ 31.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.19
$-79.81
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
231 shares @ 12.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.12
$-19.60
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
100 shares @ 6.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-5.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?
20 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 20?$16.35May 19, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 16?$33.33May 17, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?$30.00May 17, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?$10.00May 17, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 16?$20.00May 17, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?$20.00May 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 16?$19.85May 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 16?$33.01May 16, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?$29.71May 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?$9.71May 16, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?$18.91May 16, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 15?$50.00May 16, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 15?$20.00May 16, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$20.00May 16, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?$50.00May 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?$37.16May 16, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?$50.00May 16, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 15?$10.00May 15, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 15?$20.00May 15, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?$46.47May 15, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $24.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".