Fuzzy-Archeology
0x50b6383b649b2b8b0cf81ccefc2b801d21ff9dce
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$4.13
Total PnL
$-66.60
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.18
$0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$0.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 5?
5381 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.38
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 19?
1909 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 22?
1114 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 28?
1113 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?
1106 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?
1095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?
1095 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 28?
1093 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.14Jul 3, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.18Jul 3, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 19?$3.82Jun 19, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10?$2.09Jun 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.11Jun 2, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00Jun 1, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.23Jun 1, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?$2.12Jun 1, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 23?$2.10May 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.22May 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 14?$2.14May 14, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.48May 6, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.40May 6, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 6, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?$2.11May 5, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?$2.14Apr 26, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15?$2.17Apr 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.39Apr 14, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.45Apr 13, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 11?$1.1KApr 12, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $398.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.