Flawed-Marsh
0x50c6278b362134b82634576ff25a3d2387e3e348
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.50
Total PnL
$-19.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 62.5¢·now 54.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
1800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 60°F or below on May 23?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
27 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of November?
7 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
6 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- PANTOJA
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$4.00Apr 6, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?$7.94Apr 6, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 16?$1.00Feb 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?$5.40Jan 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 25, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$2.00Dec 5, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $660 end of November?$3.00Nov 28, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWilliams vs. Medic$2.40Nov 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?$1.00Nov 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?$1.00Nov 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?$2.50Nov 10, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?$1.80Oct 7, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWilliams vs. Medic$2.45Jun 23, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 60°F or below on May 23?$1.60May 23, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$2.00Apr 26, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?$2.50Feb 20, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$0.00Feb 20, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMAnnual inflation above 2.4% in October?$5.00Feb 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnnual inflation above 2.4% in October?$3.60Nov 7, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin new all time high in 2024?$0.00Nov 7, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".