Cuddly-Refuge
0x50d2e6feba5b2cfb06d16b5420e5e27b02932c5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$75.40
Total PnL
$-39.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$33.90
$13.90
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$32.79
$12.79
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
92 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.71
$-5.05
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1036 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
59 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
32 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during the Black History Month reception?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Feb 28, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Feb 28, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?$0.00Feb 28, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$0.00Feb 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$13.76Feb 21, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$10.00Feb 21, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$10.00Feb 21, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?$0.00Feb 18, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)$1.14Feb 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?$15.00Feb 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$10.00Feb 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$10.00Feb 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$20.00Feb 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$20.00Feb 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?$10.00Feb 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during the Black History Month reception?$10.00Feb 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Board of Peace events on February 19?$10.00Feb 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?$20.47Feb 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$20.00Feb 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?$10.00Feb 18, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $12.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.