Smug-Broadcast
0x50d66a531021e42e83c8a21faf80041577cff94a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$483.70
Total PnL
$-708.63
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
240 shares @ 88.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.40
$-0.80
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
100 shares @ 91.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.05
$1.95
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$90.50
$-1.50
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$43.50
$0.00
- SPIRIT
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$30.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.00
$1.00
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
120 shares @ 78.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-94.47
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
60 shares @ 81.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-48.70
- VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
60 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.70
- G2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
55 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-39.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$13.00May 17, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$30.50May 17, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$92.22May 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$43.67May 17, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$20.00May 17, 02:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$15.20May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$8.30May 16, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$25.32May 16, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$1.0KMay 16, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$20.00May 16, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$725.01May 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$62.97May 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$211.02May 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$28.13May 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$14.13May 16, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$13.93May 16, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$29.86May 16, 04:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$1.0KMay 15, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $73.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".