Nifty-Dilapidation
0x50d75033aa4e1ebd8cdd0f5db94542be6157e193
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$234.10
Total PnL
$-335.90
Realised
$1.76
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
109 shares @ 91.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.46
$2.46
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
91 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.25
$-0.46
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
17 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$17.45
$2.45
- NO
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?
23 shares @ 85.0¢·now 66.8¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$15.38
$-4.17
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.76
$0.76
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.07
$-5.93
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
133 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?$6.80Jun 2, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?$5.10Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?$7.65Jun 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$19.81Jun 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$12.20May 25, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anish Giri win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?$10.75May 24, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?$9.00May 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?$1.04May 21, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anish Giri win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?$10.02May 21, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?$20.00May 21, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$2.01May 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 19, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.15May 18, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.23May 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.08May 18, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$14.08May 18, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$21.09May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$19.04May 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$10.09May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$28.53May 17, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".