Limited-Point
0x50e432c7fa40c0395e832c20a0abd65fe1621ced
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$14.3K
Total PnL
$-29.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- ISMAEL BONFIM
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
16034 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$5.9K
$80.17
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.3K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7937 shares @ 25.2¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-432.49
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2077 shares @ 48.1¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$903.60
$-96.40
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3075 shares @ 65.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$748.83
$-1.3K
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6101 shares @ 16.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$457.59
$-542.40
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3402 shares @ 58.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$289.18
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
8333 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.33
$-821.66
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
28917 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.62Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$5.63Jul 24, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$11.25Jul 24, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$88.20Jul 24, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$88.20Jul 24, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$1.87Jul 24, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$5.8KJul 24, 10:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.3KJul 20, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.3KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$2.42Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.32Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.6KJul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.63Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.72Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $991.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.