Dizzy-Barometer
0x50e468956f4c7ff16525bf94cacf6589d757fb34
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
42824 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-535.13
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
16515 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-636.48
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?
9116 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-703.19
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
7672 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-195.86
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
2284 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-66.24
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2089 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-147.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?
2070 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-338.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
1825 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-579.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?
561 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-23.03
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?
76 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$230.71Jun 1, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$5.41May 24, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$9.89May 12, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$45.71May 12, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$35.63May 12, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$197.30May 10, 08:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$16.61May 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.43May 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.21May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.25May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.24May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.42May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.20May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$25.83May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$3.20May 8, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.05May 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.14May 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.08May 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.05May 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?$0.23May 8, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.