Scientific-Disagreement
0x50ead9fe21bc0d400078d7dd9fe5c62bb58d03b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-201.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
450 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-76.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12AM ET
442 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-76.28
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
223 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6PM ET
44 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$157.36Apr 25, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$214.28Apr 21, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$30.00Apr 21, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$35.79Apr 20, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$50.00Apr 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$20.00Apr 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?$6.81Feb 10, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$129.95Feb 9, 08:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.12Jan 31, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?$2.70Jan 30, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?$2.11Jan 30, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11PM ET$1.0KJan 30, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11PM ET$1000.00Jan 30, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$48.89Jan 30, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$16.00Jan 30, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.01Jan 30, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.10Jan 30, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $39.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".