Earnest-Inside
0x50eb979e94f5f27eb258d7e4eb2f32f39ff6b3f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-308.19
Realised
$-1.85
Win rate
13%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
489 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-112.50
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
31 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-23.26
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
24 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-16.04
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
20 shares @ 78.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.68
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
16 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.78
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
12 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
10 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$20.00Aug 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.70Aug 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.30Aug 17, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.00Aug 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.17Aug 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.63Aug 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.00Aug 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.60Aug 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.65Aug 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.20Aug 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.00Aug 17, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$25.00Aug 17, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.37Aug 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$4.11Aug 17, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.00Aug 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$4.59Aug 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.90Aug 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$2.70Aug 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.19Aug 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$3.85Aug 17, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.