Negative-Numismatist
0x5118c8b1ce155446c1eceb0cb1000f1bf6385686
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?
207 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 2?
194 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 31?
158 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 22?
146 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?
134 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?
126 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 22?
116 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 26?
94 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 15?
94 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 16?
90 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.20 July 13-19?$197.74Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.20 July 13-19?$194.97Jul 19, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?$2.71Jul 11, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 3?$224.47Jul 3, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 3?$222.67Jul 3, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 2?$2.07Jun 1, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 25?$206.25May 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 25?$204.60May 24, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$2.46May 16, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$210.63May 11, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$207.25May 10, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 25?$2.83Apr 25, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 24?$0.00Apr 25, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 15?$1.72Apr 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?$4.00Apr 14, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 11?$217.85Apr 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 11?$215.45Apr 10, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 20?$0.00Mar 31, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 31?$1.42Mar 30, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?$0.00Mar 30, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $67.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.