Worse-Pocketwatch
0x51290f407e2afd63661ba3da050c6a6870fdadd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
138
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$851.92
$-251.98
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2400 shares @ 42.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$420.00
$-588.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1109 shares @ 67.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$271.68
$-478.28
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$100.00
$8.00
- USA
World Championships: USA vs. Hungary
23 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$22.68
$0.68
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.00
$0.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
10 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.00
$0.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$10.00
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$10.00
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$10.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 24?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 24?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 18-24?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 24?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 23?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 20?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?$20.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$20.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$360.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?$5.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 20?$10.00May 25, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage$3.04May 25, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire$1.01May 25, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex$3.04May 25, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova$5.07May 25, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidel$4.02May 25, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".