US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

• BUYDOWN
  0x0b12…100b$23.52@ 18¢
  45s ago
• BUYUP
  Musty-Following$29.59@ 37¢
  45s ago
• BUYUP
  Familiar-Mini$0.05@ 1¢
  45s ago
• BUYNO
  Blaring-Backdrop$57.82@ 69¢
  45s ago
• BUYNO
  Giddy-Artery$6.87@ 91¢
  45s ago
• SELLDOWN
  Fruitful-Hovercraft$3.15@ 63¢
  45s ago
• BUYKARMINE CORP
  0x006e…4515$1.00@ 90¢
  45s ago
• SELLYES
  Lumpy-Tin$59.27@ 31¢
  45s ago
• SELLYES
  Serene-Cellar$1.11@ 30¢
  45s ago
• BUYUP
  Spherical-Mother$3.26@ 83¢
  45s ago
• BUYNO
  0x2be0…6dee$9.82@ 75¢
  45s ago
• BUYUP
  Distinct-Barley$4.58@ 59¢
  45s ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.