0x51443076fb1d6ef85ac16de97ae86c018e0c37c9
0x51443076fb1d6ef85ac16de97ae86c018e0c37c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-308.19
Realised
$-0.70
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
400 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$370.00
$-6.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
285 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$246.57
$-1.43
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
222 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$206.00
$0.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
690 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$196.48
$-3.52
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
503 shares @ 39.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$123.25
$-76.73
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
238 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$105.95
$3.57
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
142 shares @ 70.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.17
$-2.83
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.50
$11.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
788 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.09
$-90.91
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
139 shares @ 35.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.52
$-27.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$248.00May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00May 16, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 16, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.01May 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.01May 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$14.36May 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$70.33May 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.20May 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$0.78May 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$4.87May 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$10.84May 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$206.00May 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$376.00May 14, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.67May 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.12May 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.98May 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.98May 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$12.24May 12, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $75.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 05:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".