0x515e8e9b806a388a51808e2bc5cd92dc11bbec0d
0x515e8e9b806a388a51808e2bc5cd92dc11bbec0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-21.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1248 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$31.27
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
281 shares @ 62.3¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.68
$0.59
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
222 shares @ 77.9¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$118.64
$-54.15
- NO
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$30.23
$0.05
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
30 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$28.86
$-0.18
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
19 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.73
$0.33
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.64
$-0.09
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
542 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.37
$0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$175.09May 18, 04:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$30.19May 16, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$14.82May 16, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$77.04May 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$29.08May 13, 06:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.48May 7, 13:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$456.92May 5, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $113.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 04:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".