Delirious-Spectrograph
0x517d156fc6dd09662cc267aac9279b45a07da577
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$47.75
Total PnL
$-100.74
Realised
$-32.88
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.94
$0.07
- NO
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.26
$0.03
- NO
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.77
$0.01
- YELLOW SUBMARINE
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.96
$0.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
360 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
126 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
9 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $6.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.