Good-Presence
0x51840a649216c699e630575ed4964deeee5fc198
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$57.01
Total PnL
$-0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$57.07Jul 29, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$104.07Jul 19, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by June 30?$137.84Jul 19, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$103.86Jun 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$137.57Jun 25, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shannon Lundgren be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?$170.73Jun 4, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$70.75Jun 1, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shannon Lundgren be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?$170.57May 27, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$70.68May 27, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$241.41May 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$241.17May 13, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Cavaliers$241.17Apr 19, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$240.70Apr 18, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Pacers$240.70Apr 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Pacers$240.23Apr 12, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Wizards$240.24Apr 12, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Wizards$239.77Apr 11, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Rockets$239.76Apr 10, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Rockets$239.53Apr 10, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$0.00Mar 31, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $473.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.